José Manuel Aburto

Newton International Fellow

José Manuel’s overarching research aim is to produce novel insights on population health inequalities and better understand the link between health inequalities and social determinants of health. He works on developing and advancing formal demographic techniques to measure and understand inequalities in the length of life, and he uses these methods to examine the structural and social determinants of population health inequalities. 

He joined the University of Oxford and LCDS to hold the Newton International Fellowship from the British Academy. He completed a PhD in Health Sciences and Demography in 2020 at the University of Southern Denmark and the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. He also has graduate training in Demography through research fellowships held at the Center for Demography of Health and Aging at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, at Sapienza University of Rome under the European Doctoral School of Demography (EDSD), and an MA at El Colegio de México.


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2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Fellowship (with Ridhi Kashyap). From EU Commission Horizon 2020. Value of award: 224,933.76EU 


2020 John Fell OUP Research Fund Demographic science and COVID-19 in the UK. (Co-Investigator). With Dowd, J.B. (PI) and Rotondi, V., Rahal, C., Mills, MC., Kashyap, R. and Block, P. 49,981£


2019 Newton International Fellowship (with Ridhi Kashyap). From the Royal Society/British Academy. Value of award: 100,500£




Full list of publications at Google Scholar 

Uneven state distribution of homicides in Brazil and their effect on life expectancy, 2000–2015: a cross-sectional mortality study

José Manuel Aburto, Julia Calazans, Bernardo Lanza Queiroz, Shammi Luhar, Vladimir Canudas-Romo

BMJ Open

Estimating the burden of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality, life expectancy and lifespan inequality in England and Wales: a population-level analysis

Jose Manuel Aburto, Ridhi Kashyap, Jonas Schöley, Colin Angus, John Ermisch, Melinda C Mills, Jennifer Beam Dowd

Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health

Alternative Forecasts of Danish Life Expectancy

Bergeron-Boucher, Marie-Pier, Søren Kjæ rgaard, Marius D. Pascariu, José Manuel Aburto, Jesús-Adrián Alvarez, Ugofilippo Basellini, Silvia Rizzi, and James W. Vaupel

Developments in Demographic Forecasting

The Human Longevity Record May Hold for Decades: Jeanne Calment’s Extraordinary Record Is Not Evidence for an Upper Limit to Human Lifespan

Lenart, Adam, José Manuel Aburto, Anders Stockmarr, and James W. Vaupel

Exceptional Lifespans

Does the Risk of Death Continue to Rise Among Supercentenarians?

Francisco Villavicencio, and José Manuel Aburto.

Exceptional Lifespans

The Linear Link: Deriving Age-Specific Death Rates from Life Expectancy

Marius D. Pascariu ,Ugofilippo Basellini ,José Manuel Aburto and Vladimir Canudas-Romo

Risks, Special Issue "Mortality Forecasting and Applications"

COVID-19 in unequally ageing European regions

Ilya Kashnitsky and José Manuel Aburto

World Development

Diversification in causes of death in low-mortality countries: emerging patterns and implications

Bergeron-Boucher, MP., Aburto, J.M., & van Raalte, A.

BMJ Global Health

Besides population age structure, health and other demographic factors can contribute to understanding the COVID-19 burden

Nepomuceno, M. R., Acosta, E., Alburez-Gutierrez, D., Aburto, J.M., Gagnon, A., & Turra, C.M.

PNAS: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 117, no. 25: 13881–83.

Lexis Fields

Riffe, T., & Aburto, J.M.

Demographic Research 42: 713–26



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